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Today MS
Today's Meteor Activity

The 'Today's Meteor Activity' graphic shows the averaged daily Meteor Activity provided by the Radio Meteor Observing Bulletin (RMOB). It's updated every hour. This graphic is free for linking to from your own website by using this link


Relatively high rates of sporadic meteors and a fairly good shower (with potential surprises on some others) make this period pretty attractive.

After the spectacular Outburst of 2011 (EZHR around 300 hr-1), and a wholly unexpected outburst of faint radio meteors in 2012, Draconids should not produce unusual activity in 2016. Anyway, it's worth checking: Draconids are a periodic shower which produce enhanced activity when the stream's parent comet (21P / Giacobini-Zinner) returns to perihelion (as in 2012 Febraury) but sometimes also outside perihelion-return years (like in 1999 for example). The comet's orbital period is currently about 6.6 years. Draconids produced spectacular brief storms in 1933 and 1946, but also strong outbursts in several other years like in 2011.

Orionids will ensure reasonable rates, although not as good as that detected some years ago. Recent returns (2006-2009) were characterized by strong meteor activity (ZHR up to 70 hr-1). A 12-year periodicity in stronger returns has been found, although most recent returns seem to have had a separate resonant cause. That suggests the best years were 2008-2010, with a sort of minimum around 2014-2016, so Orionids ZHRs may be close to their weakest this time; ZHR for 2016 is expected to be about 15 hr-1, peaking October 21st.
Orionids often provide several lesser maxima, helping meteor activity remain roughly constant for several consecutive days centered on the main peak. Note that, in 1993 and 1998, a submaximum about as strong as the main peak was detected on Oct. 17-18.

Pay also attention to Taurids. The complex of Southern (STA) and Northern Taurids (NTA) is associated with comet 2P/Encke and sometimes produces an unusual activity of bright-to-fireball class meteors, due to resonance with Jupiter. This enhanced meteoroid activity was named as the "swarm". Please note that recent studies have shown that Taurid swarm exists only in southern branch (STA).

Have a look also to October Camelopardalids, which produced two short-lived outbursts in 2005 and 2006. The active interval suggested by video data lies between λsol=192.5-192.8 degs, equivalent to 2016 October 5, 14h to 21h UT. Researcher Esko Lyytinen has pointed out that in 2016 the trail position is very similar to that found in 2005, so a similar level outburst can be expected. The predicted position is at λsol=192.56 degs, equivalent to 2016 October 5, 14h45m UT.

For Radio Observers, the (Theoretical) UT peaks for upcoming showers in October 2016 are as follows:

Active: October 06 - October 10
Maximum: October 08 (λsol= 195.4 degs)
ZHR: Variable - typically low, but may reach storm level

Southern Taurids
Active: September 10 - November 20
Maximum: October 10 (λsol= 197 degs)
ZHR: Low (5 hr-1)

Active: October 10 - October 18
Maximum: October 11 (λsol= 198 degs)
ZHR: Low

Active: October 14 - October 27
Maximum: October 18 (λsol= 205 degs)
ZHR: Low

Active: October 02 - November 07
Maximum: October 21 (λsol= 208 degs)
ZHR: Medium (15 hr-1)

Leonis Minorids
Active: October 19 - October 27
Maximum: October 24 (λsol= 211 degs)
ZHR: Low

(Source: IMO)